Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates thunderstorms and rain likely on September 21 in Shenzhen, with projected daily highs centered on 31–32°C. Convective cloud cover and precipitation timing are key variables that can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while any delay in storm development could allow brief warming closer to 33°C. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall onset and intensity amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, with historical September maxima averaging near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics heavily, as new model runs or updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift implied probabilities between the tightly contested 31°C and 32°C outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
19%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
10%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
19%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources indicates thunderstorms and rain likely on September 21 in Shenzhen, with projected daily highs centered on 31–32°C. Convective cloud cover and precipitation timing are key variables that can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while any delay in storm development could allow brief warming closer to 33°C. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact rainfall onset and intensity amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, with historical September maxima averaging near 31°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics heavily, as new model runs or updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could quickly shift implied probabilities between the tightly contested 31°C and 32°C outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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