**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Vol.
$45,390 Vol.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Vol.
$45,390 Vol.
May 4, 2026
15°C or below
$475 Vol.
No
16°C
$346 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,947 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,117 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,393 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,212 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$10,064 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,015 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,560 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,836 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$1,425 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$45,390শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$45,390শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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