Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 12, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) early morning forecast update projecting a peak of 26°C under partly cloudy skies and high pressure dominance. Current observational data shows overnight lows around 16°C with light winds, setting up favorable daytime heating absent significant precipitation risks, as confirmed by ensemble model runs. May climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but this synoptic pattern—marked by subsiding air and solar insolation—supports above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover capping peaks below threshold, though JMA hourly updates and station readings through afternoon provide ongoing resolution clarity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 12?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,579 Vol.
$60,579 Vol.
May 12, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,579 Vol.
$60,579 Vol.
May 12, 2026
15°C or below
$1,840 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,610 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,507 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,532 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,853 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,997 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,117 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,767 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,420 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,231 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$15,704 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 12, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) early morning forecast update projecting a peak of 26°C under partly cloudy skies and high pressure dominance. Current observational data shows overnight lows around 16°C with light winds, setting up favorable daytime heating absent significant precipitation risks, as confirmed by ensemble model runs. May climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but this synoptic pattern—marked by subsiding air and solar insolation—supports above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover capping peaks below threshold, though JMA hourly updates and station readings through afternoon provide ongoing resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$60,579শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 12, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) early morning forecast update projecting a peak of 26°C under partly cloudy skies and high pressure dominance. Current observational data shows overnight lows around 16°C with light winds, setting up favorable daytime heating absent significant precipitation risks, as confirmed by ensemble model runs. May climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but this synoptic pattern—marked by subsiding air and solar insolation—supports above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover capping peaks below threshold, though JMA hourly updates and station readings through afternoon provide ongoing resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$60,579শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature reaching 25°C or higher on May 12, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) early morning forecast update projecting a peak of 26°C under partly cloudy skies and high pressure dominance. Current observational data shows overnight lows around 16°C with light winds, setting up favorable daytime heating absent significant precipitation risks, as confirmed by ensemble model runs. May climatology typically sees highs near 23°C, but this synoptic pattern—marked by subsiding air and solar insolation—supports above-normal warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover capping peaks below threshold, though JMA hourly updates and station readings through afternoon provide ongoing resolution clarity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা