Trader sentiment for Toronto’s July 4 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–29 °C because long-range guidance points to early-July warmth tempered by typical Great Lakes moderation and scattered convection. Regional models show a ridge supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the 27 °C climatological average, yet variable cloud cover, lake-breeze effects, and thunderstorm timing introduce enough spread to keep probabilities for 30 °C+ low. Official seasonal outlooks note the first week of July often features hot periods interrupted by storms that limit peak insolation, aligning with the market’s balanced distribution between 27 °C or below and the low-30s outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise thermal maximum and any boundary-layer mixing that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Toronto on July 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 4?
27°C or below 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$76,740 Vol.
$76,740 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
27°C or below
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
27°C or below 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$76,740 Vol.
$76,740 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
27°C or below
$20,669 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,210 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,882 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,317 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,183 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,686 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,198 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,734 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,656 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,146 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,060 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Toronto’s July 4 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–29 °C because long-range guidance points to early-July warmth tempered by typical Great Lakes moderation and scattered convection. Regional models show a ridge supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the 27 °C climatological average, yet variable cloud cover, lake-breeze effects, and thunderstorm timing introduce enough spread to keep probabilities for 30 °C+ low. Official seasonal outlooks note the first week of July often features hot periods interrupted by storms that limit peak insolation, aligning with the market’s balanced distribution between 27 °C or below and the low-30s outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise thermal maximum and any boundary-layer mixing that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$76,740শেষ তারিখ
Jul 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Toronto’s July 4 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–29 °C because long-range guidance points to early-July warmth tempered by typical Great Lakes moderation and scattered convection. Regional models show a ridge supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the 27 °C climatological average, yet variable cloud cover, lake-breeze effects, and thunderstorm timing introduce enough spread to keep probabilities for 30 °C+ low. Official seasonal outlooks note the first week of July often features hot periods interrupted by storms that limit peak insolation, aligning with the market’s balanced distribution between 27 °C or below and the low-30s outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise thermal maximum and any boundary-layer mixing that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$76,740শেষ তারিখ
Jul 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
Trader sentiment for Toronto’s July 4 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 27–29 °C because long-range guidance points to early-July warmth tempered by typical Great Lakes moderation and scattered convection. Regional models show a ridge supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the 27 °C climatological average, yet variable cloud cover, lake-breeze effects, and thunderstorm timing introduce enough spread to keep probabilities for 30 °C+ low. Official seasonal outlooks note the first week of July often features hot periods interrupted by storms that limit peak insolation, aligning with the market’s balanced distribution between 27 °C or below and the low-30s outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise thermal maximum and any boundary-layer mixing that could shift the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা