Forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 1, driven by typical early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with northwesterly flows advecting milder air and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming. Historical September averages hover around 13–14°C, and recent model runs show consistency in peak readings without strong cold southerlies or significant precipitation to suppress temperatures. Traders assign 89% implied probability to 14°C and 8.5% to 15°C, reflecting tight consensus around these thresholds amid normal interannual variability and the resolution criteria based on official observations. Updated forecasts or real-time data releases could refine odds as the day progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
14°C 89%
15°C 8%
13°C 7%
8°C or below <1%
$36,934 Vol.
$36,934 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
77%
15°C
8%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 89%
15°C 8%
13°C 7%
8°C or below <1%
$36,934 Vol.
$36,934 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
7%
14°C
77%
15°C
8%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 14°C for Wellington on September 1, driven by typical early-spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with northwesterly flows advecting milder air and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming. Historical September averages hover around 13–14°C, and recent model runs show consistency in peak readings without strong cold southerlies or significant precipitation to suppress temperatures. Traders assign 89% implied probability to 14°C and 8.5% to 15°C, reflecting tight consensus around these thresholds amid normal interannual variability and the resolution criteria based on official observations. Updated forecasts or real-time data releases could refine odds as the day progresses.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা