Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 September, driven by moderate northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching southerly change and limited insolation under variable cloud. This consensus, aligned with MetService and international agency outputs, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 15–16 °C outcomes. Ensemble spreads and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that could permit a brief 16 °C spike or confine the peak to 14 °C, while climatological September highs average near 14 °C. Fresh model runs and official MetService updates expected within the next 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
16°C 64%
15°C 39%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
64%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 39%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
64%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from models including ECMWF and GFS indicates a maximum temperature near 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 September, driven by moderate northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching southerly change and limited insolation under variable cloud. This consensus, aligned with MetService and international agency outputs, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 15–16 °C outcomes. Ensemble spreads and local topographic effects introduce modest uncertainty that could permit a brief 16 °C spike or confine the peak to 14 °C, while climatological September highs average near 14 °C. Fresh model runs and official MetService updates expected within the next 24 hours will further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা