The closely matched market odds around 31–36°C reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou’s peak temperature on September 17, driven by variable steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential moisture influx from the South China Sea. Recent model runs show modest spread in daytime maximums due to differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the region centers near 32–34°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C when ridging strengthens or below 31°C amid increased convective activity. Traders are weighting the next CMA and ECMWF updates, which will refine land-sea breeze timing and any incoming tropical disturbance signals before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?
35°C 36%
34°C 34%
33°C 20%
36°C 18%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
20%
34°C
29%
35°C
36%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 34%
33°C 20%
36°C 18%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
20%
34°C
29%
35°C
36%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds around 31–36°C reflect substantial uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou’s peak temperature on September 17, driven by variable steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential moisture influx from the South China Sea. Recent model runs show modest spread in daytime maximums due to differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification under light winds. Historical mid-September climatology for the region centers near 32–34°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C when ridging strengthens or below 31°C amid increased convective activity. Traders are weighting the next CMA and ECMWF updates, which will refine land-sea breeze timing and any incoming tropical disturbance signals before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা