Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high of 81–83°F in New York City under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, driving the 82–83°F bin to 46% implied probability and the 80–81°F bin to 37%. These odds reflect traders weighing the balance between daytime heating under broken cloud cover and modest cooling from increasing afternoon moisture, with a 20–30% shower chance that could cap the peak if clouds thicken earlier than expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when southerly advection typically yields highs in the low 80s absent strong frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning’s observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on September 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 17?
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 13%
78-79°F 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
$85 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$160 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$160 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$259 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$1,083 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$932 Vol.
48%
84-85°F
$1,423 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$57 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high of 81–83°F in New York City under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, driving the 82–83°F bin to 46% implied probability and the 80–81°F bin to 37%. These odds reflect traders weighing the balance between daytime heating under broken cloud cover and modest cooling from increasing afternoon moisture, with a 20–30% shower chance that could cap the peak if clouds thicken earlier than expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when southerly advection typically yields highs in the low 80s absent strong frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning’s observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,319শেষ তারিখ
Sep 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high of 81–83°F in New York City under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, driving the 82–83°F bin to 46% implied probability and the 80–81°F bin to 37%. These odds reflect traders weighing the balance between daytime heating under broken cloud cover and modest cooling from increasing afternoon moisture, with a 20–30% shower chance that could cap the peak if clouds thicken earlier than expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when southerly advection typically yields highs in the low 80s absent strong frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning’s observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$4,319শেষ তারিখ
Sep 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high of 81–83°F in New York City under partly sunny skies with southwesterly flow, driving the 82–83°F bin to 46% implied probability and the 80–81°F bin to 37%. These odds reflect traders weighing the balance between daytime heating under broken cloud cover and modest cooling from increasing afternoon moisture, with a 20–30% shower chance that could cap the peak if clouds thicken earlier than expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when southerly advection typically yields highs in the low 80s absent strong frontal passage. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning’s observations will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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