Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shanghai will see mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 10 mph and minimal precipitation on September 16, supporting a daytime high near 28–29°C. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 28°C at 59.5% and 29°C at 28.5%, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of GFS and regional model outputs that align closely with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of frontal systems or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range, while lower odds for 30°C+ or 27°C and below account for typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
28°C 60%
29°C 32%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
$21,831 Vol.
$21,831 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
60%
29°C
32%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 60%
29°C 32%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
$21,831 Vol.
$21,831 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
60%
29°C
32%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shanghai will see mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds under 10 mph and minimal precipitation on September 16, supporting a daytime high near 28–29°C. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 28°C at 59.5% and 29°C at 28.5%, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of GFS and regional model outputs that align closely with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of frontal systems or heat advection keep probabilities concentrated in this narrow range, while lower odds for 30°C+ or 27°C and below account for typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of September 15 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা