Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 12?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,627 Vol.
$79,627 Vol.
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$79,627 Vol.
$79,627 Vol.
May 12, 2026
25°C or below
$6,691 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,162 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,854 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,094 Vol.
No
29°C
$25,676 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,390 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,910 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,165 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,519 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,175 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$2,990 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ভলিউম
$79,627শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$79,627শেষ তারিখ
May 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 10, 2026, 12:20 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Wuhan on May 12, driven by official observational data from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirming an afternoon peak of 29°C before temperatures declined with sunset around 19:00 local time. This positioning reflects real-time METAR reports and China Meteorological Administration updates showing sustained readings at or below 29°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which limited solar heating despite an earlier subtropical high-pressure ridge suggesting potential for 30-31°C. Historical May highs average 27-28°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare data revision from late-night quality checks revealing a higher unlogged peak, though finalization typically locks in observations by midnight. Upcoming Wunderground history update will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা