The 10-year Treasury yield, currently near 4.65-4.71%, remains anchored by the Federal Reserve's patient policy stance at a 3.50-3.75% fed funds target amid sticky inflation and resilient growth data. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal concerns have limited downside moves, with analysts projecting a 3.75-4.5% range through year-end absent a sharp economic slowdown. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic, as market-implied paths price only modest further easing. Key near-term catalysts include the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases that could shift rate-cut expectations and drive volatility in long-term yields.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$225,354 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3.9%
14%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
2%
3.6%
5%
3.5%
1%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
5%
1.0%
2%
$225,354 Vol.
3.9%
$44,197 Vol.
14%
3.8%
$41,312 Vol.
5%
3.7%
$27,383 Vol.
2%
3.6%
$5,587 Vol.
5%
3.5%
$33,065 Vol.
1%
3.0%
$917 Vol.
2%
2.0%
$564 Vol.
5%
1.0%
$40,570 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently near 4.65-4.71%, remains anchored by the Federal Reserve's patient policy stance at a 3.50-3.75% fed funds target amid sticky inflation and resilient growth data. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal concerns have limited downside moves, with analysts projecting a 3.75-4.5% range through year-end absent a sharp economic slowdown. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic, as market-implied paths price only modest further easing. Key near-term catalysts include the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases that could shift rate-cut expectations and drive volatility in long-term yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ভলিউম
$225,354শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, currently near 4.65-4.71%, remains anchored by the Federal Reserve's patient policy stance at a 3.50-3.75% fed funds target amid sticky inflation and resilient growth data. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal concerns have limited downside moves, with analysts projecting a 3.75-4.5% range through year-end absent a sharp economic slowdown. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic, as market-implied paths price only modest further easing. Key near-term catalysts include the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases that could shift rate-cut expectations and drive volatility in long-term yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$225,354শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, currently near 4.65-4.71%, remains anchored by the Federal Reserve's patient policy stance at a 3.50-3.75% fed funds target amid sticky inflation and resilient growth data. Elevated term premiums, heavy Treasury supply, and fiscal concerns have limited downside moves, with analysts projecting a 3.75-4.5% range through year-end absent a sharp economic slowdown. Trader sentiment reflects this dynamic, as market-implied paths price only modest further easing. Key near-term catalysts include the September, October, and December 2026 FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment releases that could shift rate-cut expectations and drive volatility in long-term yields.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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