Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid a March 2026 CPI surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy index jump and 21.2% gasoline spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed some officials' growing openness to hikes, contrasting the Committee's March decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3% and jobless claims at 207,000, tempers recession fears but sustains inflation worries. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as pivotal, with upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield curves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$31,312 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
April Meeting
1%
June Meeting
4%
July Meeting
16%
September Meeting
15%
October Meeting
19%
$31,312 Vol.
April Meeting
$24,301 Vol.
1%
June Meeting
$6,580 Vol.
4%
July Meeting
$372 Vol.
16%
September Meeting
$3 Vol.
15%
October Meeting
$55 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid a March 2026 CPI surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy index jump and 21.2% gasoline spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed some officials' growing openness to hikes, contrasting the Committee's March decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3% and jobless claims at 207,000, tempers recession fears but sustains inflation worries. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as pivotal, with upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield curves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$31,312শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid a March 2026 CPI surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy index jump and 21.2% gasoline spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed some officials' growing openness to hikes, contrasting the Committee's March decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3% and jobless claims at 207,000, tempers recession fears but sustains inflation worries. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as pivotal, with upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield curves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$31,312শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate hikes reflects caution amid a March 2026 CPI surge to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy index jump and 21.2% gasoline spike from war-related oil shocks. FOMC minutes released April 8 revealed some officials' growing openness to hikes, contrasting the Committee's March decision to hold the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. Resilient labor data, with unemployment dipping to 4.3% and jobless claims at 207,000, tempers recession fears but sustains inflation worries. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as pivotal, with upcoming CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence market-implied rate paths and Treasury yield curves.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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