Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve's 2% target and April 2026 FOMC minutes highlighting risks of persistent price pressures have shifted trader focus toward potential monetary policy firming later in the year. The federal funds rate target range stands at 3.50-3.75%, with futures markets pricing in minimal near-term movement and only about a 30% probability of a hike by early 2027. Labor market resilience and economic growth data continue to support a data-dependent stance, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases on CPI and employment will provide key updates. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader consensus on these macroeconomic dynamics rather than any guaranteed path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?
$155,246 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
12%
October Meeting
28%
$155,246 Vol.
June Meeting
$16,328 Vol.
1%
July Meeting
$2,000 Vol.
6%
September Meeting
$3,063 Vol.
12%
October Meeting
$2,547 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve's 2% target and April 2026 FOMC minutes highlighting risks of persistent price pressures have shifted trader focus toward potential monetary policy firming later in the year. The federal funds rate target range stands at 3.50-3.75%, with futures markets pricing in minimal near-term movement and only about a 30% probability of a hike by early 2027. Labor market resilience and economic growth data continue to support a data-dependent stance, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases on CPI and employment will provide key updates. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader consensus on these macroeconomic dynamics rather than any guaranteed path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$155,246শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve's 2% target and April 2026 FOMC minutes highlighting risks of persistent price pressures have shifted trader focus toward potential monetary policy firming later in the year. The federal funds rate target range stands at 3.50-3.75%, with futures markets pricing in minimal near-term movement and only about a 30% probability of a hike by early 2027. Labor market resilience and economic growth data continue to support a data-dependent stance, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases on CPI and employment will provide key updates. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader consensus on these macroeconomic dynamics rather than any guaranteed path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$155,246শেষ তারিখ
Oct 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve's 2% target and April 2026 FOMC minutes highlighting risks of persistent price pressures have shifted trader focus toward potential monetary policy firming later in the year. The federal funds rate target range stands at 3.50-3.75%, with futures markets pricing in minimal near-term movement and only about a 30% probability of a hike by early 2027. Labor market resilience and economic growth data continue to support a data-dependent stance, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases on CPI and employment will provide key updates. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader consensus on these macroeconomic dynamics rather than any guaranteed path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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