Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, well above the Fed’s 2% target, alongside a cooling labor market with July unemployment at 4.1% and flat payrolls, underpins the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied odds of at least one 2026 rate hike. The June dot plot showed notable dispersion, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher year-end federal funds rate near 3.75–4.00% from the current 3.50–3.75% range, reflecting elevated inflation forecasts. Upcoming August CPI data on September 11 and the next FOMC projections will clarify whether sticky prices or softening employment tilt trader consensus toward tighter policy or a hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
55% সম্ভাবনা
$7,314,128 Vol.
$7,314,128 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
হ্যাঁ
55% সম্ভাবনা
$7,314,128 Vol.
$7,314,128 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, well above the Fed’s 2% target, alongside a cooling labor market with July unemployment at 4.1% and flat payrolls, underpins the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied odds of at least one 2026 rate hike. The June dot plot showed notable dispersion, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher year-end federal funds rate near 3.75–4.00% from the current 3.50–3.75% range, reflecting elevated inflation forecasts. Upcoming August CPI data on September 11 and the next FOMC projections will clarify whether sticky prices or softening employment tilt trader consensus toward tighter policy or a hold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,314,128শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, well above the Fed’s 2% target, alongside a cooling labor market with July unemployment at 4.1% and flat payrolls, underpins the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied odds of at least one 2026 rate hike. The June dot plot showed notable dispersion, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher year-end federal funds rate near 3.75–4.00% from the current 3.50–3.75% range, reflecting elevated inflation forecasts. Upcoming August CPI data on September 11 and the next FOMC projections will clarify whether sticky prices or softening employment tilt trader consensus toward tighter policy or a hold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$7,314,128শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year in July 2026, well above the Fed’s 2% target, alongside a cooling labor market with July unemployment at 4.1% and flat payrolls, underpins the closely balanced 54.5% market-implied odds of at least one 2026 rate hike. The June dot plot showed notable dispersion, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher year-end federal funds rate near 3.75–4.00% from the current 3.50–3.75% range, reflecting elevated inflation forecasts. Upcoming August CPI data on September 11 and the next FOMC projections will clarify whether sticky prices or softening employment tilt trader consensus toward tighter policy or a hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা