Traders are pricing a 67% chance for "Other" outcomes and 30.5% for Pause–Pause–Pause across the July–October FOMC meetings, reflecting the Fed’s current restrictive stance amid resilient labor market data and inflation readings that remain above the 2% target. Recent communications from Fed officials have emphasized data dependence, with market-implied odds aligning closely to expectations of steady policy rather than near-term easing. Key upcoming releases, including September CPI and employment figures, along with the September FOMC statement, will likely influence any shifts in the rate path priced by capital at risk in the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOther 67%
Pause–Pause–Pause 31%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.4%
Pause–Cut–Pause <1%
$738,528 Vol.
$738,528 Vol.
Pause–Pause–Pause
31%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
67%
Other 67%
Pause–Pause–Pause 31%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.4%
Pause–Cut–Pause <1%
$738,528 Vol.
$738,528 Vol.
Pause–Pause–Pause
31%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
67%
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing a 67% chance for "Other" outcomes and 30.5% for Pause–Pause–Pause across the July–October FOMC meetings, reflecting the Fed’s current restrictive stance amid resilient labor market data and inflation readings that remain above the 2% target. Recent communications from Fed officials have emphasized data dependence, with market-implied odds aligning closely to expectations of steady policy rather than near-term easing. Key upcoming releases, including September CPI and employment figures, along with the September FOMC statement, will likely influence any shifts in the rate path priced by capital at risk in the market.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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