Polymarket traders assign a 94% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the U.S. economy's resilience amid the March 17-18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% for a second meeting. Recent data bolsters this consensus: March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, while March CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year on energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, yet core measures remain contained without signaling crisis. FOMC minutes indicate one scheduled cut possible in 2026, with some openness to hikes. Realistic challenges include escalating oil disruptions, sharp labor weakening, or financial instability prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$101,648 Vol.
$101,648 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$101,648 Vol.
$101,648 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders assign a 94% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the U.S. economy's resilience amid the March 17-18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% for a second meeting. Recent data bolsters this consensus: March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, while March CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year on energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, yet core measures remain contained without signaling crisis. FOMC minutes indicate one scheduled cut possible in 2026, with some openness to hikes. Realistic challenges include escalating oil disruptions, sharp labor weakening, or financial instability prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$101,648শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders assign a 94% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the U.S. economy's resilience amid the March 17-18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% for a second meeting. Recent data bolsters this consensus: March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, while March CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year on energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, yet core measures remain contained without signaling crisis. FOMC minutes indicate one scheduled cut possible in 2026, with some openness to hikes. Realistic challenges include escalating oil disruptions, sharp labor weakening, or financial instability prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ভলিউম
$101,648শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 94% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by the U.S. economy's resilience amid the March 17-18 FOMC's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% for a second meeting. Recent data bolsters this consensus: March nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, while March CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year on energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, yet core measures remain contained without signaling crisis. FOMC minutes indicate one scheduled cut possible in 2026, with some openness to hikes. Realistic challenges include escalating oil disruptions, sharp labor weakening, or financial instability prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 meeting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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