Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market continue to anchor trader expectations for no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year in April amid a sharp energy-price surge tied to Middle East tensions, while core inflation edged higher to 2.8%; May nonfarm payrolls rose a stronger-than-expected 172,000 with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. These data points, alongside FOMC minutes highlighting the need to keep policy restrictive until disinflation is firmly reestablished, have driven the market-implied odds of unchanged rates to 93.5%. A clear cooling in May CPI or signs of labor-market softening ahead of the June 16–17 meeting could still shift positioning, though current conditions support the strong consensus for a hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,229,742 Vol.
$8,229,742 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
পরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,229,742 Vol.
$8,229,742 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,061,643 Vol.
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$851,425 Vol.
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
$1,096,016 Vol.
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$3,872,726 Vol.
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,357,446 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market continue to anchor trader expectations for no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year in April amid a sharp energy-price surge tied to Middle East tensions, while core inflation edged higher to 2.8%; May nonfarm payrolls rose a stronger-than-expected 172,000 with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. These data points, alongside FOMC minutes highlighting the need to keep policy restrictive until disinflation is firmly reestablished, have driven the market-implied odds of unchanged rates to 93.5%. A clear cooling in May CPI or signs of labor-market softening ahead of the June 16–17 meeting could still shift positioning, though current conditions support the strong consensus for a hold.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,229,742শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market continue to anchor trader expectations for no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year in April amid a sharp energy-price surge tied to Middle East tensions, while core inflation edged higher to 2.8%; May nonfarm payrolls rose a stronger-than-expected 172,000 with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. These data points, alongside FOMC minutes highlighting the need to keep policy restrictive until disinflation is firmly reestablished, have driven the market-implied odds of unchanged rates to 93.5%. A clear cooling in May CPI or signs of labor-market softening ahead of the June 16–17 meeting could still shift positioning, though current conditions support the strong consensus for a hold.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$8,229,742শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market continue to anchor trader expectations for no change in the federal funds rate at the July FOMC meeting. Headline CPI accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year in April amid a sharp energy-price surge tied to Middle East tensions, while core inflation edged higher to 2.8%; May nonfarm payrolls rose a stronger-than-expected 172,000 with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. These data points, alongside FOMC minutes highlighting the need to keep policy restrictive until disinflation is firmly reestablished, have driven the market-implied odds of unchanged rates to 93.5%. A clear cooling in May CPI or signs of labor-market softening ahead of the June 16–17 meeting could still shift positioning, though current conditions support the strong consensus for a hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা