The market-implied odds strongly favor no change at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting, underscoring trader consensus that current monetary policy remains appropriate. This view is anchored in inflation data holding near the 2% target and a labor market that continues to show balanced conditions without clear overheating or rapid cooling. Recent FOMC communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting the need for additional evidence before any policy shift. The next round of CPI and employment reports will serve as key catalysts; materially softer or hotter-than-expected prints could alter the rate-path outlook. While a sharp deterioration in hiring or a surprise disinflationary print could reopen the door to a cut, prevailing indicators continue to support the hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,168,787 Vol.
$8,168,787 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
পরিবর্তন নেই 94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 4.2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,168,787 Vol.
$8,168,787 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,054,938 Vol.
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$840,506 Vol.
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
$1,080,329 Vol.
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$3,859,458 Vol.
4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,333,757 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The market-implied odds strongly favor no change at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting, underscoring trader consensus that current monetary policy remains appropriate. This view is anchored in inflation data holding near the 2% target and a labor market that continues to show balanced conditions without clear overheating or rapid cooling. Recent FOMC communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting the need for additional evidence before any policy shift. The next round of CPI and employment reports will serve as key catalysts; materially softer or hotter-than-expected prints could alter the rate-path outlook. While a sharp deterioration in hiring or a surprise disinflationary print could reopen the door to a cut, prevailing indicators continue to support the hold.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,168,787শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The market-implied odds strongly favor no change at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting, underscoring trader consensus that current monetary policy remains appropriate. This view is anchored in inflation data holding near the 2% target and a labor market that continues to show balanced conditions without clear overheating or rapid cooling. Recent FOMC communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting the need for additional evidence before any policy shift. The next round of CPI and employment reports will serve as key catalysts; materially softer or hotter-than-expected prints could alter the rate-path outlook. While a sharp deterioration in hiring or a surprise disinflationary print could reopen the door to a cut, prevailing indicators continue to support the hold.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$8,168,787শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds strongly favor no change at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting, underscoring trader consensus that current monetary policy remains appropriate. This view is anchored in inflation data holding near the 2% target and a labor market that continues to show balanced conditions without clear overheating or rapid cooling. Recent FOMC communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting the need for additional evidence before any policy shift. The next round of CPI and employment reports will serve as key catalysts; materially softer or hotter-than-expected prints could alter the rate-path outlook. While a sharp deterioration in hiring or a surprise disinflationary print could reopen the door to a cut, prevailing indicators continue to support the hold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা