Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve maintaining steady federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% across its March, April, and June 2026 meetings, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. The March FOMC decision confirmed a pause, followed by stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls of 178,000 jobs and a dip in unemployment to 4.3% reported April 3, then March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year on April 10 amid war-related oil shocks. Fed minutes released April 8 signaled growing openness to rate hikes, tempering cut expectations. Traders price an 8% chance of a June cut, with the April 28-29 meeting as the next key catalyst amid elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডবিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 90%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 8%
অন্যান্য 2.1%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি 1.1%
$905,773 Vol.
$905,773 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
90%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
8%
অন্যান্য
2%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি
1%
বিরতি–কাট–কাট
<1%
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 90%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 8%
অন্যান্য 2.1%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি 1.1%
$905,773 Vol.
$905,773 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
$31,236 Vol.
90%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
$15,233 Vol.
8%
অন্যান্য
$216,565 Vol.
2%
বিরতি–ছাড়–বিরতি
$132,529 Vol.
1%
বিরতি–কাট–কাট
$510,210 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve maintaining steady federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% across its March, April, and June 2026 meetings, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. The March FOMC decision confirmed a pause, followed by stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls of 178,000 jobs and a dip in unemployment to 4.3% reported April 3, then March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year on April 10 amid war-related oil shocks. Fed minutes released April 8 signaled growing openness to rate hikes, tempering cut expectations. Traders price an 8% chance of a June cut, with the April 28-29 meeting as the next key catalyst amid elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical risks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$905,773শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve maintaining steady federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% across its March, April, and June 2026 meetings, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. The March FOMC decision confirmed a pause, followed by stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls of 178,000 jobs and a dip in unemployment to 4.3% reported April 3, then March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year on April 10 amid war-related oil shocks. Fed minutes released April 8 signaled growing openness to rate hikes, tempering cut expectations. Traders price an 8% chance of a June cut, with the April 28-29 meeting as the next key catalyst amid elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical risks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$905,773শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for the Federal Reserve maintaining steady federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% across its March, April, and June 2026 meetings, driven by persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor market data. The March FOMC decision confirmed a pause, followed by stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls of 178,000 jobs and a dip in unemployment to 4.3% reported April 3, then March CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year on April 10 amid war-related oil shocks. Fed minutes released April 8 signaled growing openness to rate hikes, tempering cut expectations. Traders price an 8% chance of a June cut, with the April 28-29 meeting as the next key catalyst amid elevated Treasury yields and geopolitical risks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা