Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market have anchored trader consensus at a 97.9% implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range. April CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—amid energy price pressures, while unemployment remained near 4.3% with steady payrolls, prompting the Committee to maintain its data-dependent stance and push back expectations for any easing. Market-implied odds reflect this path, with futures showing minimal change through year-end. A sharper-than-expected decline in May CPI or clear labor-market softening ahead of the June Summary of Economic Projections could still introduce volatility, though such outcomes appear low-probability given recent data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডবিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 97.8%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 1.8%
অন্যান্য <1%
$1,356,224 Vol.
$1,356,224 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
98%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
2%
অন্যান্য
1%
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি 97.8%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট 1.8%
অন্যান্য <1%
$1,356,224 Vol.
$1,356,224 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
বিরতি–বিরতি–বিরতি
$155,831 Vol.
98%
বিরতি–বিরতি–কাট
$157,359 Vol.
2%
অন্যান্য
$297,708 Vol.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation and a resilient labor market have anchored trader consensus at a 97.9% implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range. April CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—amid energy price pressures, while unemployment remained near 4.3% with steady payrolls, prompting the Committee to maintain its data-dependent stance and push back expectations for any easing. Market-implied odds reflect this path, with futures showing minimal change through year-end. A sharper-than-expected decline in May CPI or clear labor-market softening ahead of the June Summary of Economic Projections could still introduce volatility, though such outcomes appear low-probability given recent data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,356,224শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation and a resilient labor market have anchored trader consensus at a 97.9% implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range. April CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—amid energy price pressures, while unemployment remained near 4.3% with steady payrolls, prompting the Committee to maintain its data-dependent stance and push back expectations for any easing. Market-implied odds reflect this path, with futures showing minimal change through year-end. A sharper-than-expected decline in May CPI or clear labor-market softening ahead of the June Summary of Economic Projections could still introduce volatility, though such outcomes appear low-probability given recent data.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$1,356,224শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market have anchored trader consensus at a 97.9% implied probability of Pause–Pause–Pause across the March, April, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, with the federal funds rate held steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range. April CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—amid energy price pressures, while unemployment remained near 4.3% with steady payrolls, prompting the Committee to maintain its data-dependent stance and push back expectations for any easing. Market-implied odds reflect this path, with futures showing minimal change through year-end. A sharper-than-expected decline in May CPI or clear labor-market softening ahead of the June Summary of Economic Projections could still introduce volatility, though such outcomes appear low-probability given recent data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা