The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, supplying borrowing capacity that official projections and Congressional Budget Office baselines indicate will extend well into 2027 without requiring further action. Congress has historically suspended or increased the limit ahead of any potential default, and current fiscal year 2026 deficits around $1.9 trillion have not triggered extraordinary measures or X-date warnings comparable to prior cycles. Traders assign a 94.8% implied probability to no default by 2027, reflecting this structural buffer and the entrenched pattern of legislative resolution over brinkmanship.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15,073 Vol.
$15,073 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,073 Vol.
$15,073 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, supplying borrowing capacity that official projections and Congressional Budget Office baselines indicate will extend well into 2027 without requiring further action. Congress has historically suspended or increased the limit ahead of any potential default, and current fiscal year 2026 deficits around $1.9 trillion have not triggered extraordinary measures or X-date warnings comparable to prior cycles. Traders assign a 94.8% implied probability to no default by 2027, reflecting this structural buffer and the entrenched pattern of legislative resolution over brinkmanship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$15,073শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, supplying borrowing capacity that official projections and Congressional Budget Office baselines indicate will extend well into 2027 without requiring further action. Congress has historically suspended or increased the limit ahead of any potential default, and current fiscal year 2026 deficits around $1.9 trillion have not triggered extraordinary measures or X-date warnings comparable to prior cycles. Traders assign a 94.8% implied probability to no default by 2027, reflecting this structural buffer and the entrenched pattern of legislative resolution over brinkmanship.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
ভলিউম
$15,073শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, supplying borrowing capacity that official projections and Congressional Budget Office baselines indicate will extend well into 2027 without requiring further action. Congress has historically suspended or increased the limit ahead of any potential default, and current fiscal year 2026 deficits around $1.9 trillion have not triggered extraordinary measures or X-date warnings comparable to prior cycles. Traders assign a 94.8% implied probability to no default by 2027, reflecting this structural buffer and the entrenched pattern of legislative resolution over brinkmanship.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা