Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch in mid-2026, both maintaining AA+ ratings with stable outlooks, alongside Moody’s Aa1 level, reflect agency assessments of U.S. economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and revenue support from tariffs that have kept deficits elevated but not sharply worsening. Debt-to-GDP above 117% and projected deficits near 7% of GDP remain key constraints, yet stable outlooks signal limited near-term downgrade risk. The most recent debt-limit increase to $41.1 trillion in 2025 has deferred binding negotiations until late 2026 or 2027, reducing immediate fiscal brinkmanship. November midterms introduce potential policy shifts, but current trader consensus views these factors as insufficient to prompt another notch lower before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
14% সম্ভাবনা
$13,112 Vol.
$13,112 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% সম্ভাবনা
$13,112 Vol.
$13,112 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch in mid-2026, both maintaining AA+ ratings with stable outlooks, alongside Moody’s Aa1 level, reflect agency assessments of U.S. economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and revenue support from tariffs that have kept deficits elevated but not sharply worsening. Debt-to-GDP above 117% and projected deficits near 7% of GDP remain key constraints, yet stable outlooks signal limited near-term downgrade risk. The most recent debt-limit increase to $41.1 trillion in 2025 has deferred binding negotiations until late 2026 or 2027, reducing immediate fiscal brinkmanship. November midterms introduce potential policy shifts, but current trader consensus views these factors as insufficient to prompt another notch lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$13,112শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch in mid-2026, both maintaining AA+ ratings with stable outlooks, alongside Moody’s Aa1 level, reflect agency assessments of U.S. economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and revenue support from tariffs that have kept deficits elevated but not sharply worsening. Debt-to-GDP above 117% and projected deficits near 7% of GDP remain key constraints, yet stable outlooks signal limited near-term downgrade risk. The most recent debt-limit increase to $41.1 trillion in 2025 has deferred binding negotiations until late 2026 or 2027, reducing immediate fiscal brinkmanship. November midterms introduce potential policy shifts, but current trader consensus views these factors as insufficient to prompt another notch lower before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$13,112শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch in mid-2026, both maintaining AA+ ratings with stable outlooks, alongside Moody’s Aa1 level, reflect agency assessments of U.S. economic resilience, the dollar’s reserve status, and revenue support from tariffs that have kept deficits elevated but not sharply worsening. Debt-to-GDP above 117% and projected deficits near 7% of GDP remain key constraints, yet stable outlooks signal limited near-term downgrade risk. The most recent debt-limit increase to $41.1 trillion in 2025 has deferred binding negotiations until late 2026 or 2027, reducing immediate fiscal brinkmanship. November midterms introduce potential policy shifts, but current trader consensus views these factors as insufficient to prompt another notch lower before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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