SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
May 31, 2026
≤8
No
9
No
10
No
11
No
12
Yes
13
No
14 or more
No
12 100.0%
≤8 <1%
9 <1%
10 <1%
$7,458 Vol.
$7,458 Vol.
May 31, 2026
≤8
$944 Vol.
No
9
$1,066 Vol.
No
10
$204 Vol.
No
11
$479 Vol.
No
12
$1,028 Vol.
Yes
13
$1,911 Vol.
No
14 or more
$1,825 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,458শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
ভলিউম
$7,458শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
SpaceX completed exactly 12 launches during May, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome amid a near-certain consensus. The company's Falcon 9 fleet maintained its rapid cadence with multiple Starlink missions alongside other payloads, supported by high vehicle reliability, reusable booster performance, and favorable weather windows at primary sites like Cape Canaveral. Official mission logs and range approvals aligned precisely with the scheduled manifest, leaving little room for an additional flight. A 13th launch would require an unscheduled attempt or significant delay resolution, scenarios that did not materialize before the month's end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা