Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS show unsettled Atlantic flow with southwest winds and periods of rain or showers crossing the Netherlands on September 8, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C at Schiphol. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11.5 °C, yet persistent cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air this week have kept recent minima several degrees above that baseline. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any clearing introduces realistic scenarios for either sub-11 °C radiational cooling or retained warmth above 16 °C, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-teens alongside the balanced tails at the extremes. Updated model cycles and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 49%
13°C 37%
10°C or below
23%
11°C
8%
12°C
28%
13°C
37%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
17%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 49%
13°C 37%
10°C or below
23%
11°C
8%
12°C
28%
13°C
37%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
49%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS show unsettled Atlantic flow with southwest winds and periods of rain or showers crossing the Netherlands on September 8, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C at Schiphol. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11.5 °C, yet persistent cloud cover and advection of milder maritime air this week have kept recent minima several degrees above that baseline. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any clearing introduces realistic scenarios for either sub-11 °C radiational cooling or retained warmth above 16 °C, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-teens alongside the balanced tails at the extremes. Updated model cycles and KNMI guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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