**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.** Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F. Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
98°F or higher 59%
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 29%
79°F or below 26%
79°F or below
26%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
7%
98°F or higher
59%
98°F or higher 59%
82-83°F 42%
80-81°F 29%
79°F or below 26%
79°F or below
26%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
7%
98°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat and limited overnight cooling are positioning Dallas nighttime lows in the low-to-mid 80s °F range for August 26, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probabilities toward the 84-85 °F (55%) and 86-87 °F (38%) bins.** Official National Weather Service and model guidance as of August 25 show a strong ridge of high pressure maintaining southerly to southwesterly flow, with daytime highs near 104–105 °F and heat indices exceeding 109 °F. This traps residual heat, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds shifting southwest after midnight. Forecast overnight lows cluster around 81 °F (upper 70s to low 80s in some runs), well above the late-August climatological average of ~76 °F. Recent trends show an ongoing heat wave with minimal precipitation chances (under 20% late on the 26th) and no incoming cold front to enhance cooling. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from NWS, local observations, and ensemble consistency, which favors the 80–87 °F window while assigning lower odds to sub-80 °F outcomes or extreme spikes above 90 °F. Model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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