**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
26°C 26%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
26%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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