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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

27°C 38%

26°C 26%

28°C 25%

25°C 11%

Polymarket
নতুন

27°C 38%

26°C 26%

28°C 25%

25°C 11%

Polymarket
নতুন

22°C or below

$141 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$183 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$462 Vol.

2%

25°C

$217 Vol.

11%

26°C

$497 Vol.

26%

27°C

$391 Vol.

38%

28°C

$368 Vol.

25%

29°C

$145 Vol.

4%

30°C

$288 Vol.

1%

31°C

$287 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$82 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,062
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources converge on a daily minimum of 27°C for August 19, 2026, with a range of 26–28°C most probable under prevailing conditions.** Persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and cloud cover from scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent observations show no incoming cold fronts or tropical systems capable of altering steering patterns or introducing drier air before midweek, while the broader August–October outlook from the Observatory calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with traders weighting the latest model runs that show minimal day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,062
শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?" হলো Polymarket-এ 11 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "27°C" 38%-এ, তারপর "26°C" 26%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Aug 17, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 11 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "27°C" 38%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 38% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "26°C" 26%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।