Recent short-term forecasts indicate potential overnight lows near 24–25°C in Hong Kong on August 2 due to increased cloud cover, showers, and the active southwest monsoon flow, which can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight compared to typical August values of 26–27°C. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall for August–October, but near-term model consensus emphasizes these localized cooling effects from precipitation and humidity. Historical climatology shows minimums rarely dip below 25°C without stronger synoptic influences like tropical systems, keeping trader focus on whether current moisture patterns will produce the slight anomaly implied by market odds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations on the day will refine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
24°C 45%
25°C 33%
23°C 19%
26°C 3%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
45%
25°C
39%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 33%
23°C 19%
26°C 3%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
45%
25°C
39%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts indicate potential overnight lows near 24–25°C in Hong Kong on August 2 due to increased cloud cover, showers, and the active southwest monsoon flow, which can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight compared to typical August values of 26–27°C. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall for August–October, but near-term model consensus emphasizes these localized cooling effects from precipitation and humidity. Historical climatology shows minimums rarely dip below 25°C without stronger synoptic influences like tropical systems, keeping trader focus on whether current moisture patterns will produce the slight anomaly implied by market odds. Updated numerical weather predictions and official observations on the day will refine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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