The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Vol.
$24,034 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Vol.
$24,034 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$748 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,374 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,150 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,129 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,660 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,819 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,071 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,802 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$3,111 Vol.
No
30°C
$769 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$400 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$24,034শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$24,034শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা