**Persistent cloud cover and widespread heavy rainfall are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, keeping the maximum temperature on August 30 centered near 29–31 °C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and private forecasts (NMC, GFS, ECMWF runs) show an overcast sky with 80–99 % precipitation probability and totals of 10–30 mm, driven by a slow-moving trough or frontal boundary that has replaced the clearer, hotter conditions of August 29 (highs near 34 °C). Reduced insolation, high humidity, and evaporative cooling from rain limit the daily maximum well below the 33 °C climatological average for the date. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29 °C (25 %), 30 °C (30 %), and 31 °C (24 %) reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much the rain will suppress the peak—small differences in timing, intensity, or localized clearing could shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Later model updates and real-time observations from local stations will be the key near-term drivers of any repricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 21.0%
32°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
1%
30°C 28%
31°C 24%
29°C 21.0%
32°C 14%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread heavy rainfall are suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou, keeping the maximum temperature on August 30 centered near 29–31 °C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and private forecasts (NMC, GFS, ECMWF runs) show an overcast sky with 80–99 % precipitation probability and totals of 10–30 mm, driven by a slow-moving trough or frontal boundary that has replaced the clearer, hotter conditions of August 29 (highs near 34 °C). Reduced insolation, high humidity, and evaporative cooling from rain limit the daily maximum well below the 33 °C climatological average for the date. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29 °C (25 %), 30 °C (30 %), and 31 °C (24 %) reflects residual uncertainty in exactly how much the rain will suppress the peak—small differences in timing, intensity, or localized clearing could shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Later model updates and real-time observations from local stations will be the key near-term drivers of any repricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা