Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
21°C 57%
23°C or higher 50%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
13°C or below
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
49%
16°C
22%
17°C
29%
18°C
29%
19°C
24%
20°C
49%
21°C
57%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
50%
21°C 57%
23°C or higher 50%
15°C 49%
20°C 49%
13°C or below
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
49%
16°C
22%
17°C
29%
18°C
29%
19°C
24%
20°C
49%
21°C
57%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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