Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 60%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
25°C 29%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
60%
31°C or higher 60%
28°C 48%
29°C 48%
25°C 29%
21°C or below
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, drives widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity across Metro Manila through August 29. These conditions suppress diurnal temperature ranges, anchoring overnight lows near 25–26 °C according to PAGASA and global model consensus. Heavy rainfall and sustained southwesterly winds further limit radiational cooling, reducing the likelihood of sub-24 °C readings while also preventing extreme warmth. With multiple ensemble members clustered around this narrow band and minimal model spread expected before the daily minimum is recorded, trader probabilities remain closely distributed across the 24–27 °C outcomes, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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