Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on July 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12?
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$16,233 Vol.
$16,233 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
21°C or below
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$16,233 Vol.
$16,233 Vol.
Jul 12, 2026
21°C or below
$3,072 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$2,935 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,784 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,957 Vol.
No
25°C
$626 Vol.
No
26°C
$717 Vol.
No
27°C
$608 Vol.
No
28°C
$726 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,112 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,033 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$664 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$16,233শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$16,233শেষ তারিখ
Jul 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: Yes
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: Yes
Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for the Paris region points to a persistent warm air mass with overnight lows near 20–22°C on July 12, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and elevated dew points are expected to moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above the historical early-July average of roughly 15–16°C. Small differences in the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact timing of any thin high clouds, subtle shifts in boundary-layer mixing, or minor adjustments in 850 hPa temperatures within the next 48-hour model runs. Traders are weighting the consensus central tendency while acknowledging that a single updated ensemble could easily shift probabilities among the 21–23°C bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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