Recent frontal passage and associated rainfall have introduced cooler, drier air masses over northern France, setting up conditions for enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of September 10. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, though clearer intervals could allow readings to dip to 9–10 °C while stronger mixing or residual cloud cover would hold values closer to 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low near 12 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer processes and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in wind and humidity rather than any single dominant signal. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
9°C 32%
8°C 18%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 12%
7°C or below
17%
8°C
27%
9°C
30%
10°C
21%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
3%
9°C 32%
8°C 18%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 12%
7°C or below
17%
8°C
27%
9°C
30%
10°C
21%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent frontal passage and associated rainfall have introduced cooler, drier air masses over northern France, setting up conditions for enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of September 10. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows minimum temperatures clustering near 11–13 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, though clearer intervals could allow readings to dip to 9–10 °C while stronger mixing or residual cloud cover would hold values closer to 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low near 12 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8–10 °C reflects model spread in boundary-layer processes and the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in wind and humidity rather than any single dominant signal. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France guidance expected within 24 hours will narrow the range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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