**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 15°C low in Qingdao on September 15 reflects aggregated real-money assessment of official meteorological data.** Authoritative forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light southerly flow reaching that threshold overnight, consistent with the day's observed diurnal range and dew-point trends near 20°C. This positioning aligns with current conditions where afternoon highs near 27–28°C give way to radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or onshore advection to moderate temperatures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpected model revisions from late-day observations, localized urban heat effects, or shifts in wind patterns that prevent the air mass from reaching the projected minimum before midnight resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
15°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,712 Vol.
$1,712 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,712 Vol.
$1,712 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
$119 Vol.
No
15°C
$224 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$596 Vol.
No
17°C
$265 Vol.
No
18°C
$344 Vol.
No
19°C
$20 Vol.
No
20°C
$40 Vol.
No
21°C
$20 Vol.
No
22°C
$20 Vol.
No
23°C
$32 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$32 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 15°C low in Qingdao on September 15 reflects aggregated real-money assessment of official meteorological data.** Authoritative forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light southerly flow reaching that threshold overnight, consistent with the day's observed diurnal range and dew-point trends near 20°C. This positioning aligns with current conditions where afternoon highs near 27–28°C give way to radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or onshore advection to moderate temperatures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpected model revisions from late-day observations, localized urban heat effects, or shifts in wind patterns that prevent the air mass from reaching the projected minimum before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,712শেষ তারিখ
Sep 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 15°C low in Qingdao on September 15 reflects aggregated real-money assessment of official meteorological data.** Authoritative forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light southerly flow reaching that threshold overnight, consistent with the day's observed diurnal range and dew-point trends near 20°C. This positioning aligns with current conditions where afternoon highs near 27–28°C give way to radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or onshore advection to moderate temperatures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpected model revisions from late-day observations, localized urban heat effects, or shifts in wind patterns that prevent the air mass from reaching the projected minimum before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,712শেষ তারিখ
Sep 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 15°C low in Qingdao on September 15 reflects aggregated real-money assessment of official meteorological data.** Authoritative forecasts from regional models and monitoring agencies show nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light southerly flow reaching that threshold overnight, consistent with the day's observed diurnal range and dew-point trends near 20°C. This positioning aligns with current conditions where afternoon highs near 27–28°C give way to radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or onshore advection to moderate temperatures. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpected model revisions from late-day observations, localized urban heat effects, or shifts in wind patterns that prevent the air mass from reaching the projected minimum before midnight resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা