**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the low-20s °C range for Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, with the market’s tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflecting model agreement on modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official and ensemble guidance (KMA, global models) consistently shows minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C, driven by light northeast winds (4–8 m/s), dew points near 19–21 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or heavy cloud cover that would suppress nighttime cooling. Historical early-September climatology for Incheon (average low ~21 °C) provides a baseline, while current conditions on September 2 (overnight lows ~22–23 °C) indicate a slight further drop as high pressure builds and winds remain light enough for surface cooling without excessive mixing. Key differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in forecast cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds at the surface, and the coastal vs. urban heat-island contrast between Incheon airport and central Seoul. These can shift the precise minimum by 1 °C, which is why the three central bins (21–23 °C) hold the bulk of probability while tails remain low. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings in the final 24 hours before midnight local time will be the primary catalysts for any last adjustments in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
23°C 44%
22°C 28%
21°C 26%
20°C 15%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
28%
23°C
25%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
23°C 44%
22°C 28%
21°C 26%
20°C 15%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
28%
23°C
25%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the low-20s °C range for Incheon/Seoul on September 3, 2026, with the market’s tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflecting model agreement on modest radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official and ensemble guidance (KMA, global models) consistently shows minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C, driven by light northeast winds (4–8 m/s), dew points near 19–21 °C, and the absence of strong frontal systems or heavy cloud cover that would suppress nighttime cooling. Historical early-September climatology for Incheon (average low ~21 °C) provides a baseline, while current conditions on September 2 (overnight lows ~22–23 °C) indicate a slight further drop as high pressure builds and winds remain light enough for surface cooling without excessive mixing. Key differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in forecast cloud cover timing, exact wind speeds at the surface, and the coastal vs. urban heat-island contrast between Incheon airport and central Seoul. These can shift the precise minimum by 1 °C, which is why the three central bins (21–23 °C) hold the bulk of probability while tails remain low. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings in the final 24 hours before midnight local time will be the primary catalysts for any last adjustments in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা