**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 27 most likely in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C (combined ~58% implied probability).** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble outputs highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight, which limit radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 24–25°C). This reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer August nights. Light northeasterly or southeasterly winds and the urban heat-island effect in the Tokyo metro area further support elevated minimums around 25–27°C. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed overnight lows near 24–26°C amid comparable moisture and instability. The 25°C outcome (16%) remains plausible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling, while extremes below 24°C or at/above 28°C carry low probability given model consensus and current atmospheric moisture. New high-resolution model runs and updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine resolution probabilities before the overnight period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
30%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$113 Vol.
1%
22°C
$13 Vol.
1%
23°C
$71 Vol.
1%
24°C
$71 Vol.
1%
25°C
$534 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,306 Vol.
30%
27°C
$513 Vol.
29%
28°C
$288 Vol.
11%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 27 most likely in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C (combined ~58% implied probability).**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble outputs highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight, which limit radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 24–25°C). This reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer August nights. Light northeasterly or southeasterly winds and the urban heat-island effect in the Tokyo metro area further support elevated minimums around 25–27°C.
Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed overnight lows near 24–26°C amid comparable moisture and instability. The 25°C outcome (16%) remains plausible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling, while extremes below 24°C or at/above 28°C carry low probability given model consensus and current atmospheric moisture. New high-resolution model runs and updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine resolution probabilities before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,341শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 27 most likely in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C (combined ~58% implied probability).**
Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble outputs highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight, which limit radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 24–25°C). This reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer August nights. Light northeasterly or southeasterly winds and the urban heat-island effect in the Tokyo metro area further support elevated minimums around 25–27°C.
Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed overnight lows near 24–26°C amid comparable moisture and instability. The 25°C outcome (16%) remains plausible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling, while extremes below 24°C or at/above 28°C carry low probability given model consensus and current atmospheric moisture. New high-resolution model runs and updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine resolution probabilities before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,341শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 27 most likely in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C (combined ~58% implied probability).** Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble outputs highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight, which limit radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 24–25°C). This reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop compared with clearer August nights. Light northeasterly or southeasterly winds and the urban heat-island effect in the Tokyo metro area further support elevated minimums around 25–27°C. Recent days have shown similar patterns, with observed overnight lows near 24–26°C amid comparable moisture and instability. The 25°C outcome (16%) remains plausible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling, while extremes below 24°C or at/above 28°C carry low probability given model consensus and current atmospheric moisture. New high-resolution model runs and updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points that could refine resolution probabilities before the overnight period.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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