Eric Pratt holds a commanding lead in the MN-02 Republican primary due to the April 2026 withdrawal of prior nominee Tyler Kistner, who cited an active-duty military deployment, followed by Pratt securing the district GOP endorsement at the May convention with roughly two-thirds delegate support. A late-entering rival, Jeremy Westby, subsequently pledged to exit and back Pratt, leaving no organized opposition on the ballot ahead of the August 11 primary. Traders have priced this field consolidation into the 98 percent range, reflecting the absence of viable challengers or notable polling shifts in recent months. A realistic reversal would require Westby or another candidate to remain in the race through filing deadlines and mount an effective grassroots effort, though party unity statements and the compressed timeline make such an outcome improbable.