Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her repeated primary victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups against her progressive stances. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor leader positioning as a centrist focused on public safety and housing, holds 14% amid dissatisfaction in parts of the urban district plagued by rising assaults. Former prosecutor Julie Le's March 2026 entry splits the anti-Omar field, bolstering the incumbent's edge with no recent polls showing challengers gaining; filing deadline is June 2.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$16,702 Vol.
$16,702 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
86%
Latonya Reeves
14%
$16,702 Vol.
$16,702 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$16,702 Vol.
86%
Latonya Reeves
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her repeated primary victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups against her progressive stances. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor leader positioning as a centrist focused on public safety and housing, holds 14% amid dissatisfaction in parts of the urban district plagued by rising assaults. Former prosecutor Julie Le's March 2026 entry splits the anti-Omar field, bolstering the incumbent's edge with no recent polls showing challengers gaining; filing deadline is June 2.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
ভলিউম
$16,702শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her repeated primary victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups against her progressive stances. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor leader positioning as a centrist focused on public safety and housing, holds 14% amid dissatisfaction in parts of the urban district plagued by rising assaults. Former prosecutor Julie Le's March 2026 entry splits the anti-Omar field, bolstering the incumbent's edge with no recent polls showing challengers gaining; filing deadline is June 2.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$16,702শেষ তারিখ
Aug 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, driven by her repeated primary victories in 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite heavy outside spending from pro-Israel groups against her progressive stances. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor leader positioning as a centrist focused on public safety and housing, holds 14% amid dissatisfaction in parts of the urban district plagued by rising assaults. Former prosecutor Julie Le's March 2026 entry splits the anti-Omar field, bolstering the incumbent's edge with no recent polls showing challengers gaining; filing deadline is June 2.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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