Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position remains secure midway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, with the BJP-led NDA coalition holding a stable Lok Sabha majority of 293 seats and no credible threats of a no-confidence vote or snap election. Recent state assembly elections on April 9 in Assam—where BJP is the incumbent frontrunner—and Kerala, with results pending May 4, serve as a popularity test but pose no direct risk to the central government. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit by year-end, reflect partisan rhetoric amid dispelled retirement rumors tied to the BJP's informal 75-year age norm. Traders' 88% implied probability on "No" underscores this low-risk consensus, though coalition tensions or health events could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
$20,957 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position remains secure midway through his third Lok Sabha term ending in 2029, with the BJP-led NDA coalition holding a stable Lok Sabha majority of 293 seats and no credible threats of a no-confidence vote or snap election. Recent state assembly elections on April 9 in Assam—where BJP is the incumbent frontrunner—and Kerala, with results pending May 4, serve as a popularity test but pose no direct risk to the central government. Opposition claims, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit by year-end, reflect partisan rhetoric amid dispelled retirement rumors tied to the BJP's informal 75-year age norm. Traders' 88% implied probability on "No" underscores this low-risk consensus, though coalition tensions or health events could shift odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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