Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's supreme leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 conflict. He has maintained no verified public appearances since, operating from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers amid heightened security protocols and reported injuries. Iranian officials have consistently denied any departure or overseas medical treatment, including unconfirmed reports of transfer to Russia, while a Russian envoy affirmed his presence inside the country in late March. U.S. assessments highlight his restricted profile and the regime's focus on internal protection during active hostilities, shaping trader consensus around low implied probability of confirmed exit by the June 30 resolution window absent major shifts in conflict dynamics or health disclosures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,860,801 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
2%
$1,860,801 Vol.
June 30
$450,569 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's supreme leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 conflict. He has maintained no verified public appearances since, operating from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers amid heightened security protocols and reported injuries. Iranian officials have consistently denied any departure or overseas medical treatment, including unconfirmed reports of transfer to Russia, while a Russian envoy affirmed his presence inside the country in late March. U.S. assessments highlight his restricted profile and the regime's focus on internal protection during active hostilities, shaping trader consensus around low implied probability of confirmed exit by the June 30 resolution window absent major shifts in conflict dynamics or health disclosures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,860,801শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's supreme leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 conflict. He has maintained no verified public appearances since, operating from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers amid heightened security protocols and reported injuries. Iranian officials have consistently denied any departure or overseas medical treatment, including unconfirmed reports of transfer to Russia, while a Russian envoy affirmed his presence inside the country in late March. U.S. assessments highlight his restricted profile and the regime's focus on internal protection during active hostilities, shaping trader consensus around low implied probability of confirmed exit by the June 30 resolution window absent major shifts in conflict dynamics or health disclosures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,860,801শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as Iran's supreme leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes during the 2026 conflict. He has maintained no verified public appearances since, operating from an undisclosed location with communications limited to couriers amid heightened security protocols and reported injuries. Iranian officials have consistently denied any departure or overseas medical treatment, including unconfirmed reports of transfer to Russia, while a Russian envoy affirmed his presence inside the country in late March. U.S. assessments highlight his restricted profile and the regime's focus on internal protection during active hostilities, shaping trader consensus around low implied probability of confirmed exit by the June 30 resolution window absent major shifts in conflict dynamics or health disclosures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা