Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated regional conflict. He has issued written messages via state media but has not appeared publicly since, prompting widespread reports of his possible incapacitation, medical treatment in Qom, or relocation abroad amid persistent rumors of serious injury or death. These factors, combined with ongoing military tensions and questions over command continuity within Iran's clerical and IRGC structures, shape trader views on any departure from the country. A fragile ceasefire and internal regime cohesion have kept probabilities of an imminent exit low, though further strikes or elite fractures could alter the timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,824,709 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
2%
$1,824,709 Vol.
June 30
$414,478 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated regional conflict. He has issued written messages via state media but has not appeared publicly since, prompting widespread reports of his possible incapacitation, medical treatment in Qom, or relocation abroad amid persistent rumors of serious injury or death. These factors, combined with ongoing military tensions and questions over command continuity within Iran's clerical and IRGC structures, shape trader views on any departure from the country. A fragile ceasefire and internal regime cohesion have kept probabilities of an imminent exit low, though further strikes or elite fractures could alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,824,709শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated regional conflict. He has issued written messages via state media but has not appeared publicly since, prompting widespread reports of his possible incapacitation, medical treatment in Qom, or relocation abroad amid persistent rumors of serious injury or death. These factors, combined with ongoing military tensions and questions over command continuity within Iran's clerical and IRGC structures, shape trader views on any departure from the country. A fragile ceasefire and internal regime cohesion have kept probabilities of an imminent exit low, though further strikes or elite fractures could alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,824,709শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that escalated regional conflict. He has issued written messages via state media but has not appeared publicly since, prompting widespread reports of his possible incapacitation, medical treatment in Qom, or relocation abroad amid persistent rumors of serious injury or death. These factors, combined with ongoing military tensions and questions over command continuity within Iran's clerical and IRGC structures, shape trader views on any departure from the country. A fragile ceasefire and internal regime cohesion have kept probabilities of an imminent exit low, though further strikes or elite fractures could alter the timeline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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