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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

95%

Xi Jinping

$323K Vol.

$212K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

67%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$991K Liq.

89

Ends in 9 months

Khamenei # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

29%

5-9

$391 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

38%

10-14

$16.8K Vol.

$531K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?

38%

25-29

$6.2K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

4%

June 30

$380K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

1%

$35M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

3

Ends in 11 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

$2M Vol.

$477K today

$440K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

7%

$32M Vol.

$77.2K today

$658K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

21%

June 30, 2026

$685K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

44

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

$15M Vol.

$124K today

$325K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$535K Vol.

$71.0K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

13%

$400K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

17

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

79%

May 31

$3M Vol.

$306K today

$180K Liq.

111

Ends in 11 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$107K today

$377K Liq.

349

Ends in 2 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

8%

Any U.S. House member

$333K Vol.

$202K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$122K Liq.

36

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?

16%

April 21

$5M Vol.

$552K today

$78.3K Liq.

126

Ends in 2 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

6%

Fed Rate Cut

$176K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

51%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$1M Vol.

$226K today

$115K Liq.

73

Ends in 11 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $119.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.