Iran's post-2025 war leadership transition and internal power struggles continue to shape trader assessments of coup attempt risks. Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as supreme leader, combined with IRGC influence under figures like Ahmad Vahidi, has fueled factional rivalries, including hardliner accusations of coup plotting against President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials. Recent developments include contradictory public statements, disputed appointments such as the new Basij commander tasked with neighborhood-level monitoring, and the regime's emphasis on internal security networks amid economic strain and protests. US diplomatic and sanctions pressure over the Strait of Hormuz adds external leverage that could exacerbate divisions. Scheduled negotiations and any further leadership moves within the Supreme National Security Council remain key near-term variables for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$2,115,813 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
12%
$2,115,813 Vol.
December 31
$74,587 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's post-2025 war leadership transition and internal power struggles continue to shape trader assessments of coup attempt risks. Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as supreme leader, combined with IRGC influence under figures like Ahmad Vahidi, has fueled factional rivalries, including hardliner accusations of coup plotting against President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials. Recent developments include contradictory public statements, disputed appointments such as the new Basij commander tasked with neighborhood-level monitoring, and the regime's emphasis on internal security networks amid economic strain and protests. US diplomatic and sanctions pressure over the Strait of Hormuz adds external leverage that could exacerbate divisions. Scheduled negotiations and any further leadership moves within the Supreme National Security Council remain key near-term variables for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,115,813শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's post-2025 war leadership transition and internal power struggles continue to shape trader assessments of coup attempt risks. Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as supreme leader, combined with IRGC influence under figures like Ahmad Vahidi, has fueled factional rivalries, including hardliner accusations of coup plotting against President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials. Recent developments include contradictory public statements, disputed appointments such as the new Basij commander tasked with neighborhood-level monitoring, and the regime's emphasis on internal security networks amid economic strain and protests. US diplomatic and sanctions pressure over the Strait of Hormuz adds external leverage that could exacerbate divisions. Scheduled negotiations and any further leadership moves within the Supreme National Security Council remain key near-term variables for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$2,115,813শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's post-2025 war leadership transition and internal power struggles continue to shape trader assessments of coup attempt risks. Mojtaba Khamenei's succession as supreme leader, combined with IRGC influence under figures like Ahmad Vahidi, has fueled factional rivalries, including hardliner accusations of coup plotting against President Masoud Pezeshkian and other officials. Recent developments include contradictory public statements, disputed appointments such as the new Basij commander tasked with neighborhood-level monitoring, and the regime's emphasis on internal security networks amid economic strain and protests. US diplomatic and sanctions pressure over the Strait of Hormuz adds external leverage that could exacerbate divisions. Scheduled negotiations and any further leadership moves within the Supreme National Security Council remain key near-term variables for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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