Trader consensus reflects the Iranian regime's resilience following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating de facto control around April 1 by sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and blocking civilian appointments amid reported power struggles. No verified military defections, elite rebellions, or mass uprisings have materialized despite earlier protests and external pressures, as IRGC loyalty and crackdowns have suppressed dissent. Ongoing war diplomacy and lack of fracturing signals in the past 30 days justify the 87% implied probability against a coup attempt by June 30, though escalation or leadership vacuums could shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$399,508 Vol.
$399,508 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$399,508 Vol.
$399,508 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects the Iranian regime's resilience following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating de facto control around April 1 by sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and blocking civilian appointments amid reported power struggles. No verified military defections, elite rebellions, or mass uprisings have materialized despite earlier protests and external pressures, as IRGC loyalty and crackdowns have suppressed dissent. Ongoing war diplomacy and lack of fracturing signals in the past 30 days justify the 87% implied probability against a coup attempt by June 30, though escalation or leadership vacuums could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$399,508শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects the Iranian regime's resilience following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating de facto control around April 1 by sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and blocking civilian appointments amid reported power struggles. No verified military defections, elite rebellions, or mass uprisings have materialized despite earlier protests and external pressures, as IRGC loyalty and crackdowns have suppressed dissent. Ongoing war diplomacy and lack of fracturing signals in the past 30 days justify the 87% implied probability against a coup attempt by June 30, though escalation or leadership vacuums could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$399,514শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the Iranian regime's resilience following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) consolidating de facto control around April 1 by sidelining President Masoud Pezeshkian and blocking civilian appointments amid reported power struggles. No verified military defections, elite rebellions, or mass uprisings have materialized despite earlier protests and external pressures, as IRGC loyalty and crackdowns have suppressed dissent. Ongoing war diplomacy and lack of fracturing signals in the past 30 days justify the 87% implied probability against a coup attempt by June 30, though escalation or leadership vacuums could shift dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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