Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড3% সম্ভাবনা
$155,353 Vol.
$155,353 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$155,353 Vol.
$155,353 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$155,353শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$155,353শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including multiple Central Military Commission members in 2025 and early 2026, has removed or sidelined potential rivals and reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Official actions are presented as anti-corruption and loyalty enforcement measures, while unverified rumors of coup plots have repeatedly failed to produce verifiable challenges. With the Politburo Standing Committee dominated by Xi allies and no credible signs of organized opposition emerging in recent months, traders assign a 96.7% probability to no coup attempt before 2027. Remaining risks include unforeseen health events, acute external crises that expose fractures, or undetected factional coordination, though structural barriers and surveillance make such shifts unlikely in the short window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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