Putin’s control over Russia’s security apparatus and military leadership has remained intact through mid-2026 despite mounting domestic strains from the Ukraine conflict, including fuel shortages, Ukrainian drone strikes on rear areas, and declining approval ratings ahead of the September State Duma elections. No coordinated military or elite challenge has materialized since the 2023 Wagner mutiny, while Kremlin actions such as personnel reshuffles, expanded counterintelligence operations, and public alignment with United Russia have reinforced regime cohesion. Traders price a coup attempt as unlikely given the absence of verifiable signs of elite fracturing or organized opposition within the security services.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড6% সম্ভাবনা
$129,228 Vol.
$129,228 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% সম্ভাবনা
$129,228 Vol.
$129,228 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s control over Russia’s security apparatus and military leadership has remained intact through mid-2026 despite mounting domestic strains from the Ukraine conflict, including fuel shortages, Ukrainian drone strikes on rear areas, and declining approval ratings ahead of the September State Duma elections. No coordinated military or elite challenge has materialized since the 2023 Wagner mutiny, while Kremlin actions such as personnel reshuffles, expanded counterintelligence operations, and public alignment with United Russia have reinforced regime cohesion. Traders price a coup attempt as unlikely given the absence of verifiable signs of elite fracturing or organized opposition within the security services.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$129,228শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s control over Russia’s security apparatus and military leadership has remained intact through mid-2026 despite mounting domestic strains from the Ukraine conflict, including fuel shortages, Ukrainian drone strikes on rear areas, and declining approval ratings ahead of the September State Duma elections. No coordinated military or elite challenge has materialized since the 2023 Wagner mutiny, while Kremlin actions such as personnel reshuffles, expanded counterintelligence operations, and public alignment with United Russia have reinforced regime cohesion. Traders price a coup attempt as unlikely given the absence of verifiable signs of elite fracturing or organized opposition within the security services.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$129,228শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Putin’s control over Russia’s security apparatus and military leadership has remained intact through mid-2026 despite mounting domestic strains from the Ukraine conflict, including fuel shortages, Ukrainian drone strikes on rear areas, and declining approval ratings ahead of the September State Duma elections. No coordinated military or elite challenge has materialized since the 2023 Wagner mutiny, while Kremlin actions such as personnel reshuffles, expanded counterintelligence operations, and public alignment with United Russia have reinforced regime cohesion. Traders price a coup attempt as unlikely given the absence of verifiable signs of elite fracturing or organized opposition within the security services.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা