Recent bilateral trade arrangements between the United States and China, including the November 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes, have established tariff suspensions, reciprocal reductions, and purchase commitments extending through late 2026. These include maintained suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs until November 10, 2026, extended exclusion processes until December 31, 2026, creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, and annual agricultural purchase pledges. Ongoing diplomatic engagement under the current administration, combined with institutional mechanisms for managing non-strategic goods and tariff rollbacks, supports trader consensus on further formalization or continuation of these terms by year-end. Existing frameworks and scheduled reviews within the resolution window contribute to the elevated implied probability for an agreement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$217,852 Vol.
$217,852 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$217,852 Vol.
$217,852 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral trade arrangements between the United States and China, including the November 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes, have established tariff suspensions, reciprocal reductions, and purchase commitments extending through late 2026. These include maintained suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs until November 10, 2026, extended exclusion processes until December 31, 2026, creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, and annual agricultural purchase pledges. Ongoing diplomatic engagement under the current administration, combined with institutional mechanisms for managing non-strategic goods and tariff rollbacks, supports trader consensus on further formalization or continuation of these terms by year-end. Existing frameworks and scheduled reviews within the resolution window contribute to the elevated implied probability for an agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$217,852শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent bilateral trade arrangements between the United States and China, including the November 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes, have established tariff suspensions, reciprocal reductions, and purchase commitments extending through late 2026. These include maintained suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs until November 10, 2026, extended exclusion processes until December 31, 2026, creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, and annual agricultural purchase pledges. Ongoing diplomatic engagement under the current administration, combined with institutional mechanisms for managing non-strategic goods and tariff rollbacks, supports trader consensus on further formalization or continuation of these terms by year-end. Existing frameworks and scheduled reviews within the resolution window contribute to the elevated implied probability for an agreement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$217,852শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent bilateral trade arrangements between the United States and China, including the November 2025 Kuala Lumpur Joint Arrangement and the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit outcomes, have established tariff suspensions, reciprocal reductions, and purchase commitments extending through late 2026. These include maintained suspensions of heightened reciprocal tariffs until November 10, 2026, extended exclusion processes until December 31, 2026, creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, and annual agricultural purchase pledges. Ongoing diplomatic engagement under the current administration, combined with institutional mechanisms for managing non-strategic goods and tariff rollbacks, supports trader consensus on further formalization or continuation of these terms by year-end. Existing frameworks and scheduled reviews within the resolution window contribute to the elevated implied probability for an agreement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা