Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—33% in the January University of New Hampshire survey, up from 23% in September 2025—bolstered by high name recognition as daughter of retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5%, supported by strong fundraising outpacing Shaheen in recent quarters and prior campaign experience as a Marine veteran and 2018 nominee. Carleigh Beriont (10.5%) gains from local Seacoast ties highlighted at the April 9 candidate forum, while Heath Howard (4%) draws progressive support despite double-digit polling in some surveys. High undecideds (39%) and the recent forum, where frontrunner Shaheen was absent for other Democratic events, keep the field competitive amid base turnout concerns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডStefany Shaheen 56%
Maura Sullivan 30%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 4.5%
$12,549 Vol.
$12,549 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
56%
Maura Sullivan
30%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
5%
Stefany Shaheen 56%
Maura Sullivan 30%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 4.5%
$12,549 Vol.
$12,549 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
56%
Maura Sullivan
30%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 57.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—33% in the January University of New Hampshire survey, up from 23% in September 2025—bolstered by high name recognition as daughter of retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5%, supported by strong fundraising outpacing Shaheen in recent quarters and prior campaign experience as a Marine veteran and 2018 nominee. Carleigh Beriont (10.5%) gains from local Seacoast ties highlighted at the April 9 candidate forum, while Heath Howard (4%) draws progressive support despite double-digit polling in some surveys. High undecideds (39%) and the recent forum, where frontrunner Shaheen was absent for other Democratic events, keep the field competitive amid base turnout concerns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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