The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, encompassing progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 to D+50, underpins the market’s 93.5% Democratic consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, while Republican Melvin Rivera faces minimal opposition in a district that strongly favored Democratic presidential candidates. Recent Emerson and Data for Progress polling shows a competitive primary with high undecideds, yet general-election dynamics and historical turnout patterns in this urban stronghold limit Republican viability. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, unexpectedly depressed Democratic participation, or a national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,501 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, encompassing progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 to D+50, underpins the market’s 93.5% Democratic consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, while Republican Melvin Rivera faces minimal opposition in a district that strongly favored Democratic presidential candidates. Recent Emerson and Data for Progress polling shows a competitive primary with high undecideds, yet general-election dynamics and historical turnout patterns in this urban stronghold limit Republican viability. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, unexpectedly depressed Democratic participation, or a national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ভলিউম
$22,285শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, encompassing progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 to D+50, underpins the market’s 93.5% Democratic consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, while Republican Melvin Rivera faces minimal opposition in a district that strongly favored Democratic presidential candidates. Recent Emerson and Data for Progress polling shows a competitive primary with high undecideds, yet general-election dynamics and historical turnout patterns in this urban stronghold limit Republican viability. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, unexpectedly depressed Democratic participation, or a national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$22,285শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic character of New York’s 7th congressional district, encompassing progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+25 to D+50, underpins the market’s 93.5% Democratic consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement created an open seat, but the June 23 Democratic primary—featuring frontrunners Antonio Reynoso, Claire Valdez, and Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, while Republican Melvin Rivera faces minimal opposition in a district that strongly favored Democratic presidential candidates. Recent Emerson and Data for Progress polling shows a competitive primary with high undecideds, yet general-election dynamics and historical turnout patterns in this urban stronghold limit Republican viability. A major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, unexpectedly depressed Democratic participation, or a national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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