The June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx precincts, has shaped trader consensus around a competitive contest between five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Recent debates and forums have highlighted differences over campaign finance, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy, while Chevalier’s endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and appeal to progressive voters have shifted momentum in Harlem and surrounding areas traditionally aligned with the incumbent. Espaillat’s established fundraising and institutional support have kept the race within striking distance, yet the absence of public polling and focus on local turnout dynamics have led traders to assign Chevalier the higher implied probability. Minor candidates remain negligible factors given limited visibility and resources ahead of the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDarializa Avila Chevalier 63%
Adriano Espaillat 38%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$34,254 Vol.
$34,254 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
63%
Adriano Espaillat
38%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 63%
Adriano Espaillat 38%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$34,254 Vol.
$34,254 Vol.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
63%
Adriano Espaillat
38%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx precincts, has shaped trader consensus around a competitive contest between five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat and challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier. Recent debates and forums have highlighted differences over campaign finance, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy, while Chevalier’s endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and appeal to progressive voters have shifted momentum in Harlem and surrounding areas traditionally aligned with the incumbent. Espaillat’s established fundraising and institutional support have kept the race within striking distance, yet the absence of public polling and focus on local turnout dynamics have led traders to assign Chevalier the higher implied probability. Minor candidates remain negligible factors given limited visibility and resources ahead of the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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