Trader consensus prices a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026 at just 25.5% ("No" at 74.5%), anchored by the Kremlin's May 9 statement that peace remains "a very long way off" despite a U.S.-brokered three-day truce starting that day for Victory Day, including a 1,000-prisoner swap per side. Announced by President Trump on May 8, the temporary halt follows mutual accusations of violations in prior short pauses, like Kyiv's rejected May 6 proposal, amid persistent airstrikes, ground offensives, and stalled diplomacy over territorial disputes and security guarantees. Without escalation to substantive negotiations or de-escalation signals, traders see entrenched stalemate favoring continued hostilities through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$14,502,614 Vol.
$14,502,614 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৪% আয় করুন
হ্যাঁ
$14,502,614 Vol.
$14,502,614 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
৪% আয় করুন
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026 at just 25.5% ("No" at 74.5%), anchored by the Kremlin's May 9 statement that peace remains "a very long way off" despite a U.S.-brokered three-day truce starting that day for Victory Day, including a 1,000-prisoner swap per side. Announced by President Trump on May 8, the temporary halt follows mutual accusations of violations in prior short pauses, like Kyiv's rejected May 6 proposal, amid persistent airstrikes, ground offensives, and stalled diplomacy over territorial disputes and security guarantees. Without escalation to substantive negotiations or de-escalation signals, traders see entrenched stalemate favoring continued hostilities through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,502,614শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: হ্যাঁ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus prices a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026 at just 25.5% ("No" at 74.5%), anchored by the Kremlin's May 9 statement that peace remains "a very long way off" despite a U.S.-brokered three-day truce starting that day for Victory Day, including a 1,000-prisoner swap per side. Announced by President Trump on May 8, the temporary halt follows mutual accusations of violations in prior short pauses, like Kyiv's rejected May 6 proposal, amid persistent airstrikes, ground offensives, and stalled diplomacy over territorial disputes and security guarantees. Without escalation to substantive negotiations or de-escalation signals, traders see entrenched stalemate favoring continued hostilities through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
ভলিউম
$14,502,614শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETরেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: হ্যাঁ
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: হ্যাঁ
Trader consensus prices a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026 at just 25.5% ("No" at 74.5%), anchored by the Kremlin's May 9 statement that peace remains "a very long way off" despite a U.S.-brokered three-day truce starting that day for Victory Day, including a 1,000-prisoner swap per side. Announced by President Trump on May 8, the temporary halt follows mutual accusations of violations in prior short pauses, like Kyiv's rejected May 6 proposal, amid persistent airstrikes, ground offensives, and stalled diplomacy over territorial disputes and security guarantees. Without escalation to substantive negotiations or de-escalation signals, traders see entrenched stalemate favoring continued hostilities through year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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