**Intense competition among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds on which lab will rank third in Text Arena's math category by end of October.** Multiple Chinese developers, including Alibaba at 44% implied probability alongside Moonshot and Z.ai, challenge established U.S. players as recent leaderboard updates on arena.ai highlight strong math reasoning gains from models like Qwen variants and Kimi series. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic trail in the market at 15.5%, 22.5%, and 6% respectively, reflecting trader views that incremental releases and benchmark iterations could shift positions before the resolution date. The broad distribution across more than a dozen outcomes underscores uncertainty around upcoming model drops, fine-tuning advances, and how live voting in the math subcategory will evolve amid converging capabilities across labs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Alibaba 35%
Google 23%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
35%
23%
OpenAI
16%
Moonshot
10%
Z.ai
7%
Anthropic
6%
Baidu
5%
Meituan
5%
Meta
4%
Nvidia
4%
MiniMax
4%
Bytedance
4%
Mistral
3%
StepFun
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Amazon
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 35%
Google 23%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
$2,786 Vol.
35%
$2,570 Vol.
23%
OpenAI
$334 Vol.
16%
Moonshot
$205 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$305 Vol.
7%
Anthropic
$195 Vol.
6%
Baidu
$225 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$590 Vol.
5%
Meta
$199 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$263 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$272 Vol.
4%
Bytedance
$273 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$284 Vol.
3%
StepFun
$144 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$190 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$180 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$195 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$195 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$180 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Intense competition among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds on which lab will rank third in Text Arena's math category by end of October.** Multiple Chinese developers, including Alibaba at 44% implied probability alongside Moonshot and Z.ai, challenge established U.S. players as recent leaderboard updates on arena.ai highlight strong math reasoning gains from models like Qwen variants and Kimi series. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic trail in the market at 15.5%, 22.5%, and 6% respectively, reflecting trader views that incremental releases and benchmark iterations could shift positions before the resolution date. The broad distribution across more than a dozen outcomes underscores uncertainty around upcoming model drops, fine-tuning advances, and how live voting in the math subcategory will evolve amid converging capabilities across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,729শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Intense competition among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds on which lab will rank third in Text Arena's math category by end of October.** Multiple Chinese developers, including Alibaba at 44% implied probability alongside Moonshot and Z.ai, challenge established U.S. players as recent leaderboard updates on arena.ai highlight strong math reasoning gains from models like Qwen variants and Kimi series. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic trail in the market at 15.5%, 22.5%, and 6% respectively, reflecting trader views that incremental releases and benchmark iterations could shift positions before the resolution date. The broad distribution across more than a dozen outcomes underscores uncertainty around upcoming model drops, fine-tuning advances, and how live voting in the math subcategory will evolve amid converging capabilities across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$9,729শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Intense competition among frontier AI labs drives the closely matched odds on which lab will rank third in Text Arena's math category by end of October.** Multiple Chinese developers, including Alibaba at 44% implied probability alongside Moonshot and Z.ai, challenge established U.S. players as recent leaderboard updates on arena.ai highlight strong math reasoning gains from models like Qwen variants and Kimi series. OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic trail in the market at 15.5%, 22.5%, and 6% respectively, reflecting trader views that incremental releases and benchmark iterations could shift positions before the resolution date. The broad distribution across more than a dozen outcomes underscores uncertainty around upcoming model drops, fine-tuning advances, and how live voting in the math subcategory will evolve amid converging capabilities across labs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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