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icon for Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

icon for Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$159,905 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$159,905 Vol.

Polymarket

Google

$19,812 Vol.

27%

OpenAI

$32,435 Vol.

24%

xAI

$9,269 Vol.

13%

Z.ai

$5,529 Vol.

11%

Meta

$17,583 Vol.

10%

Moonshot

$11,268 Vol.

8%

Alibaba

$5,204 Vol.

7%

Baidu

$2,074 Vol.

7%

DeepSeek

$23,858 Vol.

6%

Microsoft

$5,306 Vol.

5%

Amazon

$6,432 Vol.

3%

Meituan

$4,867 Vol.

3%

Mistral

$11,692 Vol.

2%

ByteDance

$4,577 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra currently leads or ties for the top spot on major September 2026 benchmarks such as BenchLM’s composite score, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks from recent frontier releases. Anthropic maintains competitive depth across its Claude 5 family while both labs have introduced lower-cost variants like GPT-6 Sol and Claude Opus 5.5 to improve accessibility without sacrificing core capabilities. Google’s Gemini 3.8 series, xAI’s Grok 4.7, and Meta’s Muse Spark updates add pressure through multimodal and specialized performance, though they trail the leaders on aggregate intelligence indexes. With multiple labs iterating rapidly through year-end, trader focus centers on any new model launches or benchmark shifts that could alter the #1 ranking before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$159,905
শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070be91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra currently leads or ties for the top spot on major September 2026 benchmarks such as BenchLM’s composite score, narrowly ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5, reflecting strong gains in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks from recent frontier releases. Anthropic maintains competitive depth across its Claude 5 family while both labs have introduced lower-cost variants like GPT-6 Sol and Claude Opus 5.5 to improve accessibility without sacrificing core capabilities. Google’s Gemini 3.8 series, xAI’s Grok 4.7, and Meta’s Muse Spark updates add pressure through multimodal and specialized performance, though they trail the leaders on aggregate intelligence indexes. With multiple labs iterating rapidly through year-end, trader focus centers on any new model launches or benchmark shifts that could alter the #1 ranking before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$159,905
শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070be91...

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?" হলো Polymarket-এ 14 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "Google" 27%-এ, তারপর "OpenAI" 25%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?" মোট $159.9K ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Apr 30, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 14 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "Google" 27%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 27% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "OpenAI" 25%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।