Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan following a fragile ceasefire and US port blockade, have driven trader consensus to an 85% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting diplomatic momentum amid de-escalation signals like the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Vice President Vance's recent Islamabad talks yielded limited progress on key sticking points, including a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iranian nuclear enrichment—short of a permanent ban—and Iran's counteroffer of three to five years, alongside discussions on removing highly enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief. President Trump has expressed optimism for an imminent framework agreement, with mediators pushing for a second round before the truce expires, though significant gaps persist and escalation risks remain if technical hurdles prove insurmountable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$681,981 Vol.
$681,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$681,981 Vol.
$681,981 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan following a fragile ceasefire and US port blockade, have driven trader consensus to an 85% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting diplomatic momentum amid de-escalation signals like the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Vice President Vance's recent Islamabad talks yielded limited progress on key sticking points, including a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iranian nuclear enrichment—short of a permanent ban—and Iran's counteroffer of three to five years, alongside discussions on removing highly enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief. President Trump has expressed optimism for an imminent framework agreement, with mediators pushing for a second round before the truce expires, though significant gaps persist and escalation risks remain if technical hurdles prove insurmountable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
ভলিউম
$681,981শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan following a fragile ceasefire and US port blockade, have driven trader consensus to an 85% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting diplomatic momentum amid de-escalation signals like the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Vice President Vance's recent Islamabad talks yielded limited progress on key sticking points, including a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iranian nuclear enrichment—short of a permanent ban—and Iran's counteroffer of three to five years, alongside discussions on removing highly enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief. President Trump has expressed optimism for an imminent framework agreement, with mediators pushing for a second round before the truce expires, though significant gaps persist and escalation risks remain if technical hurdles prove insurmountable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$681,981শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated by Pakistan following a fragile ceasefire and US port blockade, have driven trader consensus to an 85% implied probability of a nuclear deal before 2027, reflecting diplomatic momentum amid de-escalation signals like the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Vice President Vance's recent Islamabad talks yielded limited progress on key sticking points, including a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iranian nuclear enrichment—short of a permanent ban—and Iran's counteroffer of three to five years, alongside discussions on removing highly enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief. President Trump has expressed optimism for an imminent framework agreement, with mediators pushing for a second round before the truce expires, though significant gaps persist and escalation risks remain if technical hurdles prove insurmountable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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