President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities at their sites, remains the central driver of market positioning. Subsequent administration statements have emphasized subcritical experiments and stockpile stewardship rather than full-yield explosive tests, though senior officials have not ruled out underground detonations at the Nevada National Security Site. No such test has occurred as of September 2026, with the U.S. maintaining its post-1992 moratorium through the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Key variables for traders include any formal policy decision on test scope, verification of foreign activities, Senate or agency budget actions, and international responses that could accelerate or constrain timelines before potential 2028 planning milestones.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডদ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
দ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
$794,203 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
1%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
5%
$794,203 Vol.
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$57,435 Vol.
1%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$75,957 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities at their sites, remains the central driver of market positioning. Subsequent administration statements have emphasized subcritical experiments and stockpile stewardship rather than full-yield explosive tests, though senior officials have not ruled out underground detonations at the Nevada National Security Site. No such test has occurred as of September 2026, with the U.S. maintaining its post-1992 moratorium through the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Key variables for traders include any formal policy decision on test scope, verification of foreign activities, Senate or agency budget actions, and international responses that could accelerate or constrain timelines before potential 2028 planning milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$794,203শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities at their sites, remains the central driver of market positioning. Subsequent administration statements have emphasized subcritical experiments and stockpile stewardship rather than full-yield explosive tests, though senior officials have not ruled out underground detonations at the Nevada National Security Site. No such test has occurred as of September 2026, with the U.S. maintaining its post-1992 moratorium through the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Key variables for traders include any formal policy decision on test scope, verification of foreign activities, Senate or agency budget actions, and international responses that could accelerate or constrain timelines before potential 2028 planning milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$794,203শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China, citing alleged low-yield activities at their sites, remains the central driver of market positioning. Subsequent administration statements have emphasized subcritical experiments and stockpile stewardship rather than full-yield explosive tests, though senior officials have not ruled out underground detonations at the Nevada National Security Site. No such test has occurred as of September 2026, with the U.S. maintaining its post-1992 moratorium through the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program. Key variables for traders include any formal policy decision on test scope, verification of foreign activities, Senate or agency budget actions, and international responses that could accelerate or constrain timelines before potential 2028 planning milestones.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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