President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China remains the central driver of trader assessments, though subsequent statements from administration officials have emphasized subcritical or non-explosive experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained its voluntary moratorium on explosive tests since 1992 under the stockpile stewardship program, which relies on simulations and subcritical experiments at the Nevada National Security Site to certify warhead reliability. Technical preparations for an underground explosive test could require up to 36 months, while concerns over potential Russian or Chinese low-yield activities continue to shape policy debates. Congressional funding decisions, upcoming budget requests, and any new diplomatic or intelligence developments on adversary testing programs could influence timelines for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডদ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
দ্বারা মার্কিন পারমাণবিক পরীক্ষা...?
$667,628 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
5%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
9%
$667,628 Vol.
৩০ জুন, ২০২৬
$40,220 Vol.
2%
৩০ সেপ্টেম্বর, ২০২৬
$6,673 Vol.
5%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর, ২০২৬
$10,517 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China remains the central driver of trader assessments, though subsequent statements from administration officials have emphasized subcritical or non-explosive experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained its voluntary moratorium on explosive tests since 1992 under the stockpile stewardship program, which relies on simulations and subcritical experiments at the Nevada National Security Site to certify warhead reliability. Technical preparations for an underground explosive test could require up to 36 months, while concerns over potential Russian or Chinese low-yield activities continue to shape policy debates. Congressional funding decisions, upcoming budget requests, and any new diplomatic or intelligence developments on adversary testing programs could influence timelines for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ভলিউম
$667,628শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China remains the central driver of trader assessments, though subsequent statements from administration officials have emphasized subcritical or non-explosive experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained its voluntary moratorium on explosive tests since 1992 under the stockpile stewardship program, which relies on simulations and subcritical experiments at the Nevada National Security Site to certify warhead reliability. Technical preparations for an underground explosive test could require up to 36 months, while concerns over potential Russian or Chinese low-yield activities continue to shape policy debates. Congressional funding decisions, upcoming budget requests, and any new diplomatic or intelligence developments on adversary testing programs could influence timelines for market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$667,628শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume nuclear weapons testing "on an equal basis" with Russia and China remains the central driver of trader assessments, though subsequent statements from administration officials have emphasized subcritical or non-explosive experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained its voluntary moratorium on explosive tests since 1992 under the stockpile stewardship program, which relies on simulations and subcritical experiments at the Nevada National Security Site to certify warhead reliability. Technical preparations for an underground explosive test could require up to 36 months, while concerns over potential Russian or Chinese low-yield activities continue to shape policy debates. Congressional funding decisions, upcoming budget requests, and any new diplomatic or intelligence developments on adversary testing programs could influence timelines for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা